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H2020 MYRIAD-EU Project: A multi-risk and systemic framework to enhance risk management and informed decision-making in the EU.

  • Type Project
  • Status Signed
  • Execution 2021 -2025
  • Assigned Budget 4.999.802,5 €
  • Scope Europeo
  • Main source of financing Horizon 2020
  • Project website Proyecto MYRIAD-EU
Description

The protection of people, property, the environment, and cultural heritage from disasters is a priority at both national and EU levels. It is important that EU policymakers, decision-makers, and practitioners from all Member States come together to develop forward-looking disaster risk management pathways that assess trade-offs and synergies across sectors, hazards, and scales. In this context, the EU-funded MYRIAD-EU project will inspire the introduction of a multi-hazard, systemic approach to risk management. In addition to a web-based dashboard for navigating the framework, the project will also develop a multi-hazard systemic risk assessment and management lab. The project will jointly develop the framework with stakeholders in five multi-scale pilot projects: the North Sea, the Canary Islands, Scandinavia, the Danube, and Veneto.

Description of activities

A selection of MYRIAD-EU scientific outputs in the second reporting period: Activities to ensure the longevity of the Diagnostics work, such as the organization of an international Wikithon to promote the Disaster Risk Portal, and work with UNDRR/ISC to include multi-hazard contexts in the next update of the Hazard Information Profiles (HIPs). Publication of the MYRIAD-EU framework for systemic multi-hazard and multi-risk assessment and management in a scientific journal and subsequent discussions on applications with the JRC. Soft launch of our MYRIAD-EU Dashboard. Successful delivery of two rounds of focus groups across our five MYRIAD-EU pilot studies, and development of initial DRM pathways for each pilot. Publication of a joint pilot paper analyzing the challenges posed by multi-hazard risk and proposing approaches to overcome them. Methods for quantifying dynamic feedbacks between risk factors, published in scientific journals. .Production of datasets and exposure models in multi-hazard risk at EU level. Publication of a conceptual approach for the design of Adaptive Dynamic Pathways in a Multi-hazard Risk and qualitative and semi-quantitative methods for risk assessment of multi-hazard risks in the tourism sector. Holding a successful joint conference with Risk KAN and NatRiskChange. Holding a successful policy workshop in collaboration with the CLIMAAX project at the EU Civil Protection Forum 2024 (WP7); Developing and maintaining a strong network of EU sister projects working in the field of multi-hazard risk. Providing a good practice example in the inclusion of early-career researchers in EU projects. Contributing to EU climate risk assessment.

Contextual description

Natural hazards have caused approximately 100,000 deaths and over €100 billion in economic losses in the EU since 2000. The last decade has seen tremendous scientific advances in understanding natural hazard risks, and in the EU, there has been a shift in practice from hazard management to risk management. However, most research and policy still approach risk from a single-hazard, single-sector perspective. This presents obstacles to addressing the real-world challenges faced by risk managers and other decision-makers. MYRIAD-EU's vision is to catalyze the paradigm shift needed to move towards a multi-hazard, multi-system approach to risk assessment and management. To achieve this vision, our overall objective is that, by the end of 2008, EU policymakers, decision-makers, and practitioners will be able to develop forward-looking disaster risk management pathways that assess trade-offs and synergies across sectors, hazards, and scales. To achieve this vision and overall objective, the main objectives of MYRIAD-EU are: To develop a common baseline and understanding of multi-hazard and multi-risk definitions, indicators, functions, methods, tools, and policies; To jointly develop and evaluate a harmonized framework in five multi-hazard, multi-sector, and multi-scale pilot projects bridging science and practice; To develop a catalog of dynamic feedbacks between risk factors, including systemic vulnerability; To develop and test software to generate quantitative and qualitative multi-hazard and multi-risk scenarios; To develop forward-looking DRM pathways in five pilots; To synthesize the results; and Improve knowledge sharing on multi-hazard risk assessment and management.

Objectives

The vision of MYRIAD-EU is to catalyze the paradigm shift needed to move towards a systemic, multi-hazard, and multi-sector approach to risk management. Our aim is that, by the end of MYRIAD-EU, policymakers, decision-makers, and practitioners will be able to develop forward-looking disaster risk management pathways that assess trade-offs and synergies across sectors, hazards, and scales. We will jointly develop the first harmonized framework for systemic, multi-hazard, and multi-sector risk management. It provides a set of practical guidelines for conducting a multi-risk assessment, formalized in guidance protocols. We will develop a web-based dashboard for navigating the framework, providing access to state-of-the-art MYRIAD-EU products and services and links to key resources from external projects. The core element of MYRIAD-EU is a multi-hazard systemic risk assessment and management lab. Within this lab, we co-develop the framework and the products and services to operationalize it, with stakeholders in five multi-scale pilots: North Sea, Canary Islands, Scandinavia, Danube, and Veneto. Each pilot focuses on (interconnections between) three of the following six sectors: infrastructure and transport, food and agriculture, ecosystems and forestry, energy, finance, and tourism. For each pilot, we examine multi-hazard risk within the region, as well as indirect, cross-sectoral, and interregional risks across the EU. MYRIAD-EU is designed to maximize impact. Our lab ensures that designing solutions to real-world challenges is central and that stakeholder co-development occurs throughout the project. To ensure we reach key stakeholders, our consortium includes a Sector Representative for each of our key sectors—a leading institute with an excellent network. MYRIAD-EU distinguishes itself from other projects by addressing multi-risk management through the lens of forward-looking sustainability challenges that span sectors, regions, and hazards.

Additional information

Progress towards expected impacts includes: "...consensus on better definitions, indicators, and functions for characterizing multi-hazard risk through increased interdisciplinary collaboration..." MYRIAD-EU has had significant impacts by helping to develop consensus on better definitions, indicators, and functions for characterizing multi-hazard risk. For example, we are currently working with the UNDRR/ISC Hazard Information Profiles (HIPs) steering committee to inform multi-hazard terminology for the HIPs revision. Definitions from our handbook are being used as a basis for definitions in other EU projects, such as MEDIATE and EO4MultiHazards. The Disaster Risk Portal is a common platform for sharing knowledge among the community. "...investment prioritization and selection of effective DRM options..." & “...Improved risk-informed decisions... Addressing the trade-offs between... " DAPP-MR has been designed to generate better-informed decisions for multi-hazard challenges through the identification of future-focused DRM pathways that recognize the uncertainties surrounding future risks and can flexibly adapt to emerging conditions. Across all MYRIAD pilot regions and the EU, good progress has been made in co-creating DRM pathways: over 50 stakeholders from various sectors have contributed to the development of 14 preliminary DRM pathways. "...enhanced capacity for the identification of vulnerable, threatened areas and infrastructure most at risk from multi-hazards in Europe" We have developed an algorithm to develop multi-hazard event sets based on individual hazard footprints (MYRIAD-HESA) and a global-scale dataset of multi-hazard event sets using 9 single-hazard events (MYRIAD-HES). We are collaborating with colleagues at the JRC to use MYRIAD-HES in their annual work program to identify areas threatened by multi-hazard events in Europe. The Horizon Europe MIRACA project is using MYRIAD-HESA to develop a higher resolution for Europe in its assessment of 45 infrastructure risks at the European level. Our matched sets of hazards and exposures are being used in discussions with the European Environment Agency (EEA) as part of the CATDAT database. "...better-informed and forward-looking national risk assessments that take into account long-term drivers, such as climate change..." We have developed a collaborative systems analysis and DAPP-MR approach to support practitioners in appropriately framing complex multi-hazard problem contexts to inform risk assessments that explicitly consider long-term drivers such as climate change. All pilots have informed initial pathways forward and selection of DRM options. "...a better understanding of the relationships and interactions of multiple hazards... Driven by... changes at different temporal and spatial scales" MYRIAD-HESA is being implemented in collaboration with colleagues at the JRC to assess multi-hazard risks at different temporal and spatial scales. We have also developed VulneraCity, a global database of vulnerability drivers and dynamics. This can be used to better understand the dynamic nature of hazard vulnerability in urban areas. "...better knowledge sharing through platforms such as DRMKC, and stakeholder networks on emerging risks and extreme events" MYRIAD-EU has organized and chaired annual meetings of multi-hazard risk sister projects at the CGU General Assembly. This led to several concrete actions to enhance knowledge sharing, including: sister project updates in each other's newsletters; and the joint development of a summer school between MYRIAD-EU, PARATUS, The Hut, and Directed. The 3rd International Conference on Natural Hazards and Risks in a Changing World, co-organized by MYRIAD-EU, Risk KAN, and NatRiskChange, featured 202 presentations. Our policy workshop discussed the integration of multi-hazard assessments and nature-based solutions for climate change adaptation to enhance the implementation of the five EU Disaster Resilience Goals.

Coordinators
  • STICHTING VU